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China Dissent Monitor
China Dissent Monitor 2023

第2期:2022年10月 - 12月

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  • 6月至今已有一千多起线下抗议事件:自2022年6月以来,异言网已记录1,080起抗议事件,其中96%为线下活动,如示威、标语抗议和罢工等。抗议活动的累计参与人数至少达23,000人。目前为止,2022年10月1日至12月5日期间已记录了253起抗议事件。
  • 反封控抗议:异言网于6月1日至12月5日期间记录了173起反新冠防疫规定的案件,其中48起抗议发生于9月和10月,11月则有89起 – 这反映出秋季掀起的抗议浪潮。从分析可看出,反封控抗议的规模较其他类型的抗议更大,且参与者针对政府及被捕的可能性更高。此运动导致2022年第四季由学生所主导抗议和政治性抗议事件较第三季增加。
  • 抗议活动于中共二十大期间减少:二十大于10月召开,习近平担任中国共产党(CCP)领导人的第三个任期就此开始,从异言网数据可看出,抗议活动在此期间相对减少,此改变可能是安保措施加强或对抗议信息审查趋严所导致。尽管出现暂时的平静,但抗议活动在此时期前后仍频繁发生。
  • 抗议群体多元:物业买家(395起)与劳工(168起)虽为6月至今的主要抗议群体,但另有许多群体发起抗议,包括城市居民(153起)、学生(56起)、村民(33起)和宗教团体(25起)。异言网记录的抗议活动遍布中国所有省份和地区。
  •  抗议者常遭到逮捕:在8.5%的案件中(92例),我们有直接证据可证明当局拘留或逮捕抗议者,这反映出参与公开抗议活动者所面对的巨大风险。遭受针对性迫害的特定群体面对更高风险,例如,在数据库所收录的宗教群体抗议活动中,有72%出现参与者遭到逮捕的情况。
  • 政府妥协:政府当局在51起抗议事件中做出一定程度的妥协,如修改政策或确认接获抗议者的申诉。异言网所纪录的妥协多为当局对反封控抗议活动的回应。
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People hold white sheets of paper in protest over COVID-19 restrictions in Beijing in 2022. Crowds had gathered for a vigil honoring the victims of a fire in Urumqi, which took place during COVID-19- related lockdowns in China. (Image credit: Reuters/Thomas Peter)
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